Library / First Principles Framework (FPF) - Core Conceptual Specification
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B.5.2:2 - Problem

Without an explicit abductive pattern:

  1. Inquiry stalls at surprise. A team encounters an anomaly, opportunity, or probe pressure but has no admissible next action for producing a candidate hypothesis.
  2. Origin is lost. Once a conjecture appears, the initiating prompt, rival candidates, and early plausibility grounds disappear from the record.
  3. Candidate space collapses too early. The first plausible-seeming explanation is treated as the explanation, even though alternatives were never exposed.
  4. Selection becomes opaque. A chosen conjecture moves downstream without a visible record of why it outranked alternatives.
  5. Untestable hypotheses survive too long. A candidate with no interpretable implication or possible discriminating contrast is treated as a useful explanation. Distinguish this from a meaningful conjecture whose possible check is presently unavailable.