B.5.2:2 - Problem
Without an explicit abductive pattern:
- Inquiry stalls at surprise. A team encounters an anomaly, opportunity, or probe pressure but has no admissible next action for producing a candidate hypothesis.
- Origin is lost. Once a conjecture appears, the initiating prompt, rival candidates, and early plausibility grounds disappear from the record.
- Candidate space collapses too early. The first plausible-seeming explanation is treated as the explanation, even though alternatives were never exposed.
- Selection becomes opaque. A chosen conjecture moves downstream without a visible record of why it outranked alternatives.
- Untestable hypotheses survive too long. A candidate with no interpretable implication or possible discriminating contrast is treated as a useful explanation. Distinguish this from a meaningful conjecture whose possible check is presently unavailable.