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Library / First Principles Framework (FPF) - Core Conceptual Specification
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C.28:0.3 - First-Minute Questions

  1. What is the concrete claim, and what causal question must be answered to rely on it?
  2. Is the requested statement about an observed association, an intervention, or a counterfactual?
  3. What observations, experiments, model assumptions or derived results are available?
  4. Which live threat could overturn the conclusion: for example, confounding, time order, missing comparison cases, interference, measurement error or transfer to another population?
  5. What statement is supported under those conditions, and what further evidence or calculation would change it?

When the causal question requires relations that have not yet been constructed, use C.28.CM to turn the subject account and material alternatives into explicit causal models. Return with their premises, conditional consequences or a precise missing relation. A sufficient support verdict or an adequate existing model can finish the present question without that construction.