Library / Defense and Transmission Modeling DPF
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DTM.6:2 - Problem

Correlation between variants does not establish competition or facilitation. They may share favorable conditions, reach the same audiences or be counted differently. Conversely, fitting each variant separately can miss a real interaction and recommend a change that releases the other.

A useful model must show what one variant changes for the other. It must also distinguish an immediate effect, a later feedback and the effect of changing the intervention itself.