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Source changed 2026-10-03 05:29:54 UTC · snapshot created 2026-10-03 05:30:57 UTC · last check 2026-10-03 05:35:10 UTC

MMP.13:6 - Bias-Annotation

The worked laws are simple enough for exact calculations. Real records can have selection, dependence, weak identification or model mismatch that a convenient binomial or normal family conceals. The resulting uncertainty is conditional on the assumptions represented; it does not automatically include an omitted mechanism.

Bayesian and frequentist results are compared by the conclusions they support. A narrower interval alone cannot rank different probability meanings. The choice of prior, coverage domain and receiving target is part of the inference, even when software supplies defaults.