Library / Problem Structuring and Decision Support Principles Framework
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PSD.10:6 - Bias-Annotation

Scope: uncertainties that can change a bounded decision-support return. Lenses: Epist separates evidence and belief; Prag tests action-changing relevance; Arch exposes dependencies; Gov preserves direct authority and protected conditions; Did makes an unknown into a useful question.

Precision bias favors a number over an honest set or gap. Confidence rhetoric can substitute reputation for evidence. Model averaging can conceal shared errors. Certainty seeking can consume the entire decision window. Counter these with exact conditional claims and an explicit account of what a different answer would change.