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PSD.12:4.5 - Connect the remaining uncertainty to information value

Ask what feasible observation, experiment, calculation, or interpretation could move the comparison across a material boundary. Distinguish “this factor changes the output a lot” from “this attainable result could change the decision”.

Where a qualified probabilistic and value model permits information-value analysis, include the possible decisions after the information, the informativeness of the actual probe, and its cost and delay. Perfect-information value can be an upper bound; it is not the value of an imperfect test. Information values from several sources are not automatically additive.

Where probabilities are not defensible, state the discriminating conditions and what a probe could resolve without inventing expected value. Some uncertainty will remain; a broad research programme is not the default response.

Use C.11 or the direct decision owner for the actual choice of a next probe over the current options, budget, value, and cost. This pattern supplies information priorities and conditions, not probe authorization or a research WorkPlan. A preference or authority dispute may require an explicit judgement rather than more empirical data.